FOR FIRST TIME VISITORS, PLEASE START BY READING THE
'WHY & WHY NOW?' POST
Free Bernie Madoff
Let me first say I assume Bernie Madoff is guilty because he doesn't
really deny it. Did he run a giant Ponzi scheme? Seems so. Should he
go to prison for a long stretch after a plea or conviction? Sure, why
not? The question consuming the tabloid media at the moment, however,
is should he remain free pending the resolution of this case. The
answer, thus far, is clearly yes. The point of bail is many fold: To
make sure you appear in court for your hearings and trial - basically
that you do not flee; to ensure you no longer continue the alleged
criminal behavior that lead you to this moment; that you pose no danger
to society; and lastly - not true in every case but certainly in this
one - that your freedom does not facilitate disposition of your assets
before the government can account for them. Let's check these off.
Bernie going anywhere? Ankle bracelet, 24 hour guards, a ravenous pack
of reporters trailing his every move. Doesn't seem likely. Can he
continue his alleged Ponzi scheme? Is someone going to invest money
with Bernie Madoff? You really don't need me to answer this. Does he
pose a danger to society by his presence amongst us? He has no
previous criminal record and I really cannot see an argument that he
poses any danger to society. Lastly, is he systematically disposing of
his assets? What we know factually is that his wife sent some jewelery
and family heirlooms to relatives. At his direction? Perhaps. Was
she prohibited by the Magistrate's order from doing so? In fact, she
wasn't. It was a badly worded order that should have included her.
But it didn't. So toughen the existing order so it is loophole free.
It pisses off the US Attorney's office that they screwed this up. That
is why they are now coming at him the way they are. Whether or not he
had $170 Million in checks prior to his arrest is immaterial to me. I
am sure he intended lots of things prior to the admission to his sons
of his swindle. The question in these matters is whether he will,
would or did dispose of assets. Did he defy the order of the court? I
can see no rational reason for denying this man bail based on what we
know of the jewelery episode. One million dollars in jewelery is no
big deal at this level of wealth. It is just a few pieces.
Andrea
Peyser maintains that this man belongs in jail. Not for the jewelery
but just because lots of people were swindled and it affronts her that
he is free and living in a penthouse. It is a sentiment widely
shared. He may very well belong in jail for the crimes he's been
arrested for. But we have a process in this country and although it
works increasingly less well, it should be followed. There is no
reason for anyone to be in jail if they meet the above requirements
pending trial. We don't believe in mob rule and that is what is taking
hold in the Madoff case. I readily admit my sympathies for his victims
are limited. Very wealthy, sophisticated people who invest money in a
fund that guarantees high returns in down markets, charges no fees and
prints its statements on dot matrix printers, don't get tons of tears
from me. They were as greedy as he was for being so blindly stupid.
That is no defense for him and he will almost surely plead or be
convicted and get a lengthy term of imprisonment. But why does it have
to happen today? If he's not rotting at the Metropolitan Correction
Center until next fall are we somehow harmed as a society? Except to
the braying pack, I cannot see how.
11/26 - New Post under Current Affairs entitled, 'Public Life'.
HARD WINTERS
While heading home last night on the 4 train who should be standing a few feet away from me in the car but Rep. Vito Fossella. Clearly his troubles have not taken a toll on him, at least physically. He looked trim, tanned, healthy, and dapperly dressed. He, like the friend he was traveling with, had very slicked back hair. You don't see many members of congress on the subway. He still is, for now, a member of congress. I thought he made a mistake in not running. I can speak from personal experience that the worst time to make serious judgment calls is when you are smack in the eye of the hurricane. Very few of us have the cold, steely nerve to ignore the maelstrom and focus. He may not have won but I believe only because the Obama tsunami turned everything blue. There was no way of knowing about that back in June. I always liked Vito, although we didn't have a great relationship. I am a very loyal friend. Any enemy of a friend becomes mine. Vinnie LaPadula hated Vito - mostly jealously. So I always viewed Vito askance. Stupid, I know. Vinny was constantly spreading rumors that Vito was secretly gay. I think we all know now that's probably far from the truth. I'll be writing at a later point my view as to Vinny's motivation for casting aspersions on other's sexuality. A view shared, I might add, by his then roommate, Tony Carbonetti. But why am I writing about Vito Fossella? I'm not.
While on the subway last night with Vito, I saw an ad from the NYC Dept. of Health. It told me the calorie count of some muffin. I recalled then that in the morning one of the free papers, AM Metro, was sponsored by the NYC Dept. of Health. It was an anti-smoking ad. Now those ads are not free. Even the subway ads aren't free. It got me thinking and steaming. Here we are in perilous budget times. Mayor-for-life Mike is bringing us to a constitutional crisis regarding his unwillingness to expend approved funds and the NYC Dept of Health has the funds and license to wag its finger at me about trans-fat and nicotine. This is an example of how a government should not be run. You cannot claim that we are in the midst of a crisis and then not have your agencies reviewing all their outlays.
I recall vividly being at a budget meeting at the height of the budget crisis in '94' when the mayor specifically asked the question about public service ads. It made no sense to him having the agencies spending money on PSAs when he was wrestling with serious cuts. They, for the most part, were removed. It was a sign that Rudy wanted everything - minus cops and fire - on the table. Nothing was too frivolous. Why? Because messages get sent when the public sees these ads and is being told their subway fare has to go up. Or as in the case of the Dept. of Health, we read today that DOH will be closing free dental clinics for lack of funds. Now I am not suggesting that removing Dr. Frieden's war against fat and smokes is going to close that gap. I am not. I am saying that it matters as to its perception. I am tempted at this point to quote Evertt Dirksen, but everyone these days does that. But you get my meaning. It all adds up. If the point is made that those DOH funds are already in this year's budget, there is a very simple process by which the Mayor, through his legislative office, requests a change for existing funds to be used for another purpose. It's done routinely.
But this administration is not the one for hard winters. Mayor-for-life-Mike and Co. aren't up to the task. They haven't had to and frankly he's assembled a team that isn't capable of weathering difficult times. Gov. Patterson was smart enough to see his own holes and rightly hired Marc Shaw recently (someone the Mayor should have re-hired). He knew he had to beef up his team to have any hope of getting through this. But no such awareness exists in the silly bullpen located in the Public Hearing Chamber at City Hall. Who is this administration's Abe Lackman, Marc Shaw, Peter Powers or even Carol O'Cleireacain? Who is riding herd on the agencies and challenging them when they present ridiculous budget cuts. Ed Skyler? Patti Harris? Mark Page?
The longevity of the NYC Budget Director is counter-intuitive to how we think in usual management terms. A top rate budget director cannot be so and hold his job for too long. He either gets worn out by the constant never-ending struggle to make the agencies toe-the-line or he is so successful that the withering abuse heaped on him cannot be sustained for long. Mark Page has held that job, and will continue to do so, for at least eight years, a modern record. Mark is an OMB lifer, a tron. He's a smart guy, no question. But he's not the guy you want cracking the whip. He's not an innovator. He's a functionary. When the time comes - and it's here - for hard choices; for figuring out how to do more with less, you don't want Mark Page leading that effort.
I was shocked - like Claude Rains was shocked - to discover that Mayor-for-life-Mike has no regard for the role of the legislative body. Were they shocked? Sure he throws them bucks from the City or his checkbook. He makes nice when he wants to succeed himself in office. But when he doesn't want to issue checks approved of in the budget, screw em. He knows best. That's why they up-ended the public will to keep him, right? He's our savior. Richard Nixon tried this and congress had to enact impoundment legislation to prevent any president from diverting or withholding approved spending. And here we are thirty-plus years later fighting the same battle. Surely, the City Council can pass similar legislation; overriding an expected veto in the process. But no guts. Mayor-for-life-Mike has them bought lock, stock and member item. These are the 'leaders' you all want to keep around for another term. This is the best we can do. It's pitiful.
REVELATIONS
One
of the newspapers I was reading this morning noted that crime in the
city was on the rise and listed a series of charts and stats to
demonstrate the point. I had promised you this piece last week and
today seemed to be the perfect day to publish it given that news.
On
two separate occasions in April of 2001, (read Postscripts for how I
recall the date) Tony Carbonetti revealed an extraordinary secret to
me. We were at his home for both conversations. What precipitated
this discussion I no longer recall. But we were in his living room and
in regard to something I had just said, Tony was trying to counter by
making the point that any absolute can be fixed or fudged. "It's like
the murder stats," he said. "What can you possibly mean?" I
responded. He gave me a half cocked smile as if to say, "Come on, be
real." "Those numbers aren't real," he told me. I was totally
stunned. It wasn't that I didn't think we were capable of playing with
numbers. I had just always assumed that the bedrock of Rudy's legacy,
the extreme drop in crime, was real. We had made a fundamental
difference based on our policies and practices. "Wait a minute, hold
on," I said, "what are you saying? You can't fudge dead bodies. They
either are or they aren't. You count em up and come up with a total.
How in the world do you massage that?"
He
gave me a look. The kind of look you give an idiot child, but one you
care about; exasperated and patient all at the same time. "Happy
Land," he said. "What, the fire?" I asked.
Happy
Land was a low-rent social club in the Bronx that had a devastating
fire that killed a lot of people during the Dinkins Administration. It
was arson so the deaths all counted in the murder statistics that
year. It wasn't really fair, statistically. It took what was already
a bad annual number and made it much worse. For Dinkins, I mean.
"What
if instead of counting all 40, or whatever the number was, you only
counted it as one. Counted the incident instead of the bodies."
"Jesus,"
I said, "they did that? "No, Dinkins didn't miscount the numbers.
Besides they couldn't do that with Happy Land, the number was too
public," Tony explained. "But you're saying we do that," I asked,
"count incidents instead of bodies when there are multiple murders?"
"Yea, sometimes," Tony admitted. But I got the impression that
because of my stunned reaction he was softening his answer. I got the
sense from him that we were doing this more than just 'sometimes."
I
was really floored. I was as stunned by that as by anything I had
learned up till that point during those seven years. If you told me we
played with the welfare stats and that the number hadn't come down from
1.5 million to half a million, I could have easily accepted that we
played with those numbers. But the murder stat? That was the
indicator that we and everyone else used to herald the amazing change
that had taken place in NYC. People all over the world knew about that
number. Trust me, I met with lots of foreign delegations and they all
knew that year's murder stat and our cumulative crime reduction
percentage.
When
I left his office I felt a little sick and a little sad. I also
wondered who at PD was responsible, actually responsible, for fixing
these numbers. And who else at at City Hall besides Tony knew about
this.
A
few weeks later I was hanging out at Tony's apartment. I don't know
where Vinny was but he wasn't around. We were watching TV and
something came on the news about the police. The reference was
negative. Tony got kind of sullen and lowered the sound on the TV. "I
was in Rudy's office the other day and you're never going to believe
what he said to me." Rudy had been extremely moody and I could imagine
Tony telling me just about anything. "God, what now?" I asked.
"We
were in his office, just him and me. We had just finished a meeting
with Kerik and some guys from PD. The meeting hadn't gone well. After
they left he says, sort of to nobody, although I was the only one
there, "They're out of control." Who is? I asked him. "The cops.
I've lost control. It's too far gone for me to do anything about it.
There's nothing I can do at this point."
"Holy
shit," I said to Tony, "have you ever heard him say anything like that
before?" "Never," Tony said, "he's never even hinted before that he
feels that way." "Where did it come from then?" I asked. "I don't
know," Tony said, "it must be how he really feels."
That
admission by Rudy was startling to me for a few reasons. First, I
wasn't aware that he had acknowledged to himself what we all knew; that
the cops had become uncontrollable in the city. Rudy was always the
first to defend any PD action as history documents so well. Everyone
else around him knew there was a serious problem but no one had ever
heard him acknowledge it before. Second, it sent a chill through me to
think that if he, Rudy, the mayor and chief police booster felt that
the problem was so bad that even he couldn't control it, then we were
in some serious trouble. I also knew that Rudy and Tony knew things
regarding police actions that I was certainly not aware of and that
statement by him made me think that there must be a lot more bad shit
going on then I ever could have imagined.
POSTSCRIPTS:
Just
for the record and since I do remember the date I thought I would
recall why. I had just returned from a conference in Tampa immediately
before my first conversation with Tony and I know the second conversation
happened a few weeks after the first. Since I know that the conference was in
April of 2001 I can place these events in that period.
NO MY YOB
For those of you
too young to remember, before cute Freddie Prinze, Jr. of 'Scream'
fame, there was his father, Freddie Prinze, Sr. He, his character, had
a catchphrase back then that he used whenever he was asked to do some
work. It was, "No my job." Except he said it in a thick Hispanic
accent and the J was pronounced like a Y. I think Mayor for Life Mike
is channeling the late Prinze, Sr. these days. In today's papers it is
reported that when asked about the horrible condition that the MTA is
in financially, and the possibility of a major fare hike on the public,
Mayor for Life Mike said, "It's a state agency." I guess it is lost on
him that there is a reason that the Mayor has a substantial minority of
appointments to the MTA Board. It is to affect the process and the
decisions that come out of that board. They are his voice and
represent his views. Moreover, with an activist mayor, like Giuliani,
a vocal and aggressive minority can be used to create a majority. The mayor can shape policy and direct the agenda of the MTA. The suburban
counties are each represented on the board and have, unlike the city
and the state, 1/4 of a vote each. Seth Kaye always used to refer to
them as the 'Quarter Pounders." With their voice and collective vote
the mayor can challenge the Governor should he choose to.
The
problem for us in New York City is that we don't know what we want. I
don't mean the mayor, he knows that he will shrink from any tough
choice or difficult task. Make no mistake that is the hallmark of his
mayoralty. I mean we as citizens of the great city don't know what we
want from this man. We seem to like his aloofness and passivity on
most matters. We claim relief that he's so non-confrontational unlike
Rudy. The problem arises at moments like this one. History and human
nature tells us that you can't turn on and off forceful leadership.
You either are that person or you're not. Mayor for Life Mike is not a
forceful leader. He is not a leader at all. But the scary part is
that he says so very plainly. It's one thing to try and lead and be
terrible at it - David Dinkins - it is almost unprecedented to say
matter of factly and routinely that you have no desire to lead. What
is even more astounding to me is that the populace seems to find this a
praiseworthy trait and wishes, if the polls are to be believed, to
reward this man with four more years of non-leadership.
I work near a great hole in the ground. That hole has been there for
seven years. It is a monument to Mayor for Life Mike's non-leadership
that it is still empty. Again, he says - up until very recently and
only because the newspapers were finally on his case - that he has no
interest in the future of Ground Zero. It's a state problem because
they control the Port Authority. Just like he says transit is a state
problem because they control the MTA. We accept his passivity and are
all the worse for it.
It
is often said that the public has disdain for elected officials. I
have news for you; having worked for a few they disdain you right
back. The public gets what it deserves and almost always does. Mayor
for Life Mike is openly contemptuous of the little people who work for
a living. He can't relate to the average New Yorker, and to his
credit, makes very little artifice to try and pretend otherwise. It's
so apparent that he couldn't. And yet people eat his contempt for them
up. They seem to say, "He thinks I'm scum and gosh, I admire his
candor." He has poll numbers in the 60+% range.
It
can't be his stewardship of the city. No one can reasonably say he is
leaving NY in a better place than when he found it with the exception
of a huge amount of new luxury housing. If that is to be considered
bettering the city. On the budget, this Independent, behaves like a
classic liberal democrat. In good times balloon the budget, give the
unions everything (including costly legislative initiatives in Albany),
and swell the headcount. In bad times, slash the budget and raise
taxes. He has nearly doubled the budget since taking office. He has
demonstrated no ability or interest to create lasting structural change
in the way the City does business. And what have we to show for it?
Has a single major initiative come to fruition? Hunter's Point,
Willet's Point, the West Side expansion, the Olympics, Atlantic Yards,
Coney Island, Moynihan Station, New MSG, Ground Zero, and on and on and
on. Now incredibly the man behind each of these failed or failing
initiatives is Dan Doctoroff. This time channeling Ike, Mayor for Life
Mike said, as Ike did of Sherman Adams, "I can't live without him," and
had the Conflicts of Interest Board waive serious protections so that
we could all continue to benefit from Doctoroff's failure of
leadership. Some pair these two make. But again, it is clearly what
the public wants.
Moynihan
Station (Farley) should have been completed by now. But Mayor for Life
Mike says he wants no part of the responsibility because it's messy;
there's state, federal and city overlaps. So because the state can't
get its act together, the city does nothing. And yet he has decided to
serve in office in perpetuity and to succeed himself all without any
referendum. Even dictators in banana republics at least go through the
farce of a public referendum on their continued tenure. Saddam Hussein
realized he need the cover of a public vote. That periodic 99% yea
vote he received counted for something at least from a PR perspective.
But Mayor for Life Mike cannot be bothered with even the simplest
trappings of democratic government. He makes Baby and Papa Doc
Duvalier look like John and Samuel Adams.
But
this is what we want and so this is what we shall have. Four more
years of non-leadership and stagnation. The great city moves not
forward but sideways. There will always be a reason for a non-leader
to decline action. The question I cannot get my head around is why we
so desperately want this. But just remember - when you're paying $3.00
to ride the subway don't blame Mayor for Life Mike. That's how he
wants it. And apparently so do we.
THE SAVIOR?
Today's New York Post says that key state Republican party leaders
are seeking to replace Joe Mondello with Rudy Giuliani. They say he is
the savior of the Party. Hmmmm. Anyone happen to see Newsweek naming
Rudy one of the ten losers coming out of the 2008 campaign? Or on
their chutzpah scale rating him highly for cravenly pandering to New
Hampshire voters by saying that this life-long, die-hard Yankee fan
would root for the Red Sox in a World Series? I think the state party
is conveniently missing the message from all this. John Faso could not
have stated the problem more clearly than in his piece in last week's
Post. The state senate Republicans are what's wrong with the state
party, not Joe Mondello. Yes, Joe Mondello was/is a poor chairman. He
was a pick from a former era. But the reason the public turned so blue
on Tuesday was because for years now the senate leadership has offered
no alternative to the Democrats. Faso hit the nail on the head when he
said that it would have been unthinkable under Ralph Marino to even
consider congestion pricing let alone endorsing it. But the state
party has sold their soul to Mike Bloomberg. Without his annual $500K
they would have no functioning outreach apparatus. He's not a
Republican, never was. Yet they take his money and endorse his
left-wing agenda. I suppose it is more honorable than taking his money
and opposing his agenda, but all the same they've sold out.
As
for Rudy "coming home" and saving the day. Which Rudy is it exactly
who will be riding that white stead? The pro-immigration Rudy who
saved but one outreach liaison office when he took over in 1994, that
being the Mayor's Office of Immigration Affairs, or the Rudy who now
believes we need to beef up the borders and re-examine amnesty? The
unflaggingly pro-choice Rudy or the one who believes we need more
pro-life Supreme Court appointments? The virulently anti-gun Rudy or
the one who thinks we need a second look? I could go on and on. He
sums up the problem in Albany and across the state party. We don't
have any firm convictions so why would anyone vote for us? His or Tony
Carbonetti's appointment as State Chair would only underscore the
problem. Their is no quick fix to this problem - people don't trust
us. Trust has to be won back over time. Trust me, I know.
Set
out a clear moderate-libertarian program -pro-choice, lower taxes,
smaller more efficient government, new investment in infrastructure and
high-speed rail, opposition to any Bloomberg efforts to tax bridges or
entry-points, a true bi-partisan plan (not ESDC corporate boondoggles)
to solve the systemic economic troubles of the upstate economy,
decriminalize marijuana possession and drastically reduce the prison
population and wasted law enforcement resources. These are just a few
ideas, I'm open to many more and a discussion of what our state party
is and where it is going. More of the same will get you more of the
same. Namely, a lot more counties turning blue. This 1980's
experiment of turning the state Republican party into the state
Conservative party failed. We've now tried turning it into the state
Democratic party which the results of last Tuesday show us worked no
better. Is Rudy the savior? I've written here repeatedly that old
Rudy could have been. I've seen no evidence that new Rudy gets it.
THE TRAP
Barack and
Michelle Obama are to visit the White House today for a sit-down with
George & Laura Bush. This is a trap. Forget the fact that Obama
should have refused because, to my knowledge, no president-elect has
visited the White House before inauguration day - that is usually left
up to the first ladies. The real reason to have refused is not
precedent, but because Bush is laying a trap. Bush knows, somewhere in
his rational consciousness, that he is now the worst president since
James Buchanan, notwithstanding all these allusions to Truman and
Washington. Therefore, the charm offensive is on. Bush is convinced
that his winning, one-on-one personality is going to charm Obama today
and make it harder for the new president to say the kinds of things
about Bush and his Administration that need saying during the next 6-12
months. Of course it won't effect the parachute teams landing at
federal agencies over the next few weeks. They will do their work and
make their recommendations. But what Bush is after is the rhetoric.
Tone down the anti-Bush language and the public perception that will
now be firmly set will be tamped down. Obama will come away thinking
Bush is really an OK guy. Yes, a disastrous president, but a charming
an affable man who probably meant well. "It was all Cheney's doing",
he'll think.
It is
important, for the record, the nation, and the hard Obama supporters to
hear the truth about the man and his record over the last eight years.
I fault Obama for not saying this in much starker language than he did
since the convention. Ronald Reagan made Jimmy Carter a pariah for the
next 20 years by the tone he set regarding his predecessor during his
first years in the White House. It wasn't permissible to have Carter
for dinner in polite society. What exactly do the Obama people think
is motivating Bush in this invitation and the outstretched hand to
offer "all possible assistance"? Because after shredding the
Constitution for eight years he now is feeling presidential?
Nonsense. This is all an effort to blunt what he knows should be
coming. This cozy little group of ex-presidents and their fraternity
is supposed to be admirable. They call each other for advice and
attend each other's functions. This can't happen with Bush. If Obama
treats him as just some well-meaning but failed ex-president, history
will not forgive him and I suspect neither will his base.
UPDATE 11/7
Sorry I have been remiss in keeping the content fresh. I will do a
better job starting next week. Things to be on the lookout for in the
coming days:
1. There seems to be a lot of talk about the deal
that EDC/IDA cut for the Yankee Stadium project. I can't shed any
light on that, although I'll have some thoughts, but I can tell you in
detail about how Randy Levine cost the city millions of dollars and
abused his office as Deputy Mayor for another sweetheart deal that the
IDA did during my tenure at EDC and how I tried, unsuccessfully, to stop
it.
2. I'll be posting a piece called 'FAVORS' that will give you
some small idea of the power that Tony Carbonetti wielded over city
agencies and again, how the taxpayers were shut out of millions of
dollars.
3. In another piece called 'REVELATIONS' I will tell you
of two extraordinary pieces of information I learned of from Tony in
April of 2001.
4. And lastly, I will begin the process of chronicling my legal case. I can promise you it won't be as dry as it sounds.
Please
bear in mind that the biggest piece I have written I am saving for the
end. That may be weeks or months from now. It details how,
unbeknownst to an entire city, the government of New York City came to
a halt and ceased to function for two weeks. You'll never guess why. Look out for that piece
in the weeks ahead.
The Day After
I am reminded
this morning of September, 1939. On the 3rd of September, France and
England had finally called Adolf Hitler's bluff and were declaring war
after years of appeasement. Hitler, not having expected to be met with
real resistance, turned to Von Ribbentrop and said, "What now?"
My
guess is that both the Obama transition and the country as a whole, are
waking up this morning asking a similar question. A columnist for the
NY Times this morning defended Obama's lack of specificity during the
campaign by saying that the New Deal wasn't the New Deal until after
FDR took office, the nation had no idea what he would do and that the
first referendum on it in wasn't until the 1936 election. That of
course isn't true. The Roosevelt campaign of 1932 outlined a number of
proposals and concepts that would eventually make up many of the
alphabet agencies. Most came from his years as Governor of New York.
People could look at his record, to paraphrase another NY governor.
Obama never did that. I haven't the faintest idea of what an Obama
legislative agenda looks like for the first 100 days. I can not
remember that happening in my lifetime, that on the day after a
presidential election I would not know what the major proposals were
going to be for the new administration. That is where all this hope
talk comes in. Hope in better days but also hope in what is going to
happen. No one really knows. I jumped in. I voted Democratic for the
first time in a national election.
On
election night 1994, Peter Jennings, a liberal Canadian, famously,
condescendingly, and derisively said that, "the nation was having a
temper tantrum", as he saw the sea of red wash over the map behind
him. He misunderstood the mood of the country and the real yearning
for a different path that night. Last night, I believe the nation
needed and took a shower. The results show two intents at play here
amongst the electorate. First, the shower. The country needed to
vigorously cleanse itself of George W. Bush and the last eight years.
It needed to scrub away the sick feeling most of us feel deep in our
gut about where our nation is and what we've become. Many of us
believe we are no longer a real force for good in the world. At least
it is not our intent to be. Whatever role we played in electing and
re-electing George Bush or supporting him when his numbers were high,
we now need to rid ourselves of the guilt and the shame. People are looking for self-redemption and the only way was through the pulling of a lever in that booth. Closing that curtain and pulling the lever for Obama was something akin to a civic confessional.
A President
who spent his days in the Oval Office approving and analyzing different
methods to torture people is someone we all should be disavowing and
that is what last night was about. It is hard to comprehend the 180
degree turn that occurred yesterday. We have gone from the most
conservative - and I don't like using that word in describing George
Bush - to perhaps the most liberal president ever. Not over a
generation but in a single night.
The
other intent in electing Obama yesterday was this over-used word
hope. I have seen that word used in every presidential election:
Clinton used it to death, Carter after Watergate, Reagan after Carter.
But I have never really seen the country vote while crossing its
fingers and hoping for better times. You would really have to go back
to '32' to see that kind of blind faith in the outcome. It is almost
religious.
The
big question for me this morning is where does my party go from here.
A lot of talk last night was expended about the dismal prospects for
the GOP and who will lead us back. The real problem is that I am
convinced that no national leader gets how bad things are. They'll be
hand wringing for sure, but what we need are a Tony Blair and Gordon
Brown who can find a new way to win elections with a revamped party.
The creation of New Labor was an acknowledgment that the old Labor
Party had lost its way, got out of touch with the majority of Britons
and could not win a national election as it was then constituted.
Many, especially the Tories, viewed it cynically and with some
justification. But it was a desperate time losing four national
elections in a row. They had to find a way back. I don't believe the
Republican party has a Tony Blair. I don't think the party wants to
fling off the Family Resource Council or Rush Limbaugh. I, naturally,
wish the party would go back to a very hard libertarian agenda. Newt
Gingrich is derided by many but he was on the proper path back in
1994. Yes, we are going to have to concede the issue of some type of
national health care. The nation cannot go on having so many of its
citizen with little or no health coverage. It cannot go on like that.
But once that battle is over we should go back to many of the ideas
discussed in 94. Reducing the size and scope of the federal government
is key, if presented right. The Republican Leadership should start by
being out foursquare against renewing 'No Child Left Behind.' It won't
because it is Bush's domestic legislative legacy. But it is against
everything we stand and stood for. Who will lead us back? It is hard
to imagine. My guess is he may not be a major player yet. He might be
someone who emerges, perhaps from the back benches in the House. The first real test will come when House Republicans elect their leader. John Boehner has announced he'll seek re-election as Minority Leader. He is part of the same old crowd that went along with the Bush Administration. He should have rejected the bail-out totally instead of massaging it. This will be the first test as to how seriously Republicans acknowledge the depths they're in. If they re-elect him, expect no substantive change in party direction.
I
may not know much about Barack Obama but I do know about Rudy
Giuliani. And these last few months have been even more disastrous for
him then was his own campaign. He used to be able to absorb lessons
from mistakes. Now he seems only able to compound them. That is
partly hubris and partly the result of surrounding yourself with
sycophants. When no one will tell you the truth your left to your own
bad judgment. In this case, his has been breathtaking. Can he
possibly be proud that he is now the man who blasted Pres. Obama harder
than anyone else on behalf of John McCain. As I said on this blog back
in August he would rue the day that he made that speech mocking
"community organizers." I winced when he did it that night and now
that the community organizer in question is President it only
diminishes the attacker. It's hard to see where Rudy goes from here
politically. He is clearly part of the problem with the party. I do
not believe he can win a statewide election in New York unless he does
what he did in 1989. He lost that election. He then had what
Churchill called his "Wilderness Years." Rudy used his to great
effect. He met with and listened to all sorts of people candidate
Giuliani never would have back in '89'. He thought about the great
issues facing New York City and looked for answers. Some created
consensus, some did not. But he was genuine. No one believes he is a
sincere, genuine person anymore. Jesus Christ, his kids didn't even
vote for him. Money has corrupted him philosophically so that I doubt
he is capable of that same self-reflection he showed back then. Also
he is not the young man he was. Time is not on his side. But if he
truly seeks to serve - to make a difference in people's lives in a way
that he sincerely believes will matter for the good - then he needs to
wander; wander and reach out. He has to do something however. His
behavior has been so bad that it has begun to damage people's
recollections of his legacy and that is all he has left. That is of
course what translates into the millions of dollars that Giuliani
Partners brings in every year. Without the myth, the legacy, the
legend, he's just another losing pol.